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Market Analysis

One for the Punters

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By Murray Dawes, Saturday, 23 November 2024

This stock has shown that it can give its clients the chance at an exciting return on their investment into their product. Customers are lining up and revenues are climbing fast.

Sick of reading about what markets will do once Trump gets in?

Me too!

Because let’s face it, no one really has a clue what he will do…or how markets will react.

That’s why I trust the charts more than my (or anyone’s) views on every bit of news that comes along.

The market will tell us when it’s time to trade. As long as you have a solid method for listening attentively, you’ll be ready whatever happens.

So, today, I’m going to throw a bone to the mad punters out there. If you’re someone who likes to chuck some money at a company that may or may not shoot to the moon…this is for you.

That said, even though it’s a punt and high risk, so never invest more than you can afford to lose, I believe it has the recipe for success.

Solid management with skin in the game. A large addressable market to go after with signs of success. Revenue growing strongly (80% annualised ARR growth over the last three years).

After copping a beating with the rest of the small cap sector over the past few years, they’ve lifted themselves off the canvas…and are now starting to see some steady buying pressure.

But…their cash outflow from operations over the last three years has hovered around negative $10m.

This is what makes it a punt. A calculated punt. But a punt nevertheless.

Therefore, it is a bit early stage for my Fat Tail Microcaps service, but I will certainly consider it as revenue grows.

There have been capital raisings that have weighed on the price and who knows, there may still be a few more coming.

But with a well-known founder who is steadily accumulating shares and a product with a solid ROI (Return on Investment) for prospective clients, they have a shot at growing something substantial.

So, if you have had enough of discussions about US 10-year bond yields…and the path of the US dollar…get stuck into today’s Closing Bell video below. I discuss a little stock that may have a big future.

If you want to find stocks like this, you need to understand the method that I use. I give you a crash course in my trading rules in the six lessons white paper. Check it out.

I’ve put together insights from my 30+ years of trading that will help you discover little stocks like the one shown in today’s video, before they blast higher.

I believe that the key to high returns in small caps, is knowing you can survive all market conditions. To do that you need a risk management process that handles immense volatility.

I put this into action in my service Retirement Trader.

You can learn more about my approach by clicking here to get access to 30 years of trading knowledge.

Regards,

Murray Dawes Signature

Murray Dawes,
Editor, Retirement Trader and Fat Tail Microcaps

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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