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Macro Central Banks

NAB Shares Enter Trading Halt after H1 Earnings Halved (ASX:NAB)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Monday, 27 April 2020

National Australia Bank Ltd [ASX:NAB] has issued a notice this morning that it would be entering a trading halt in order to raise funds, after posting a massive hit to first-half cash earnings...

National Australia Bank Ltd [ASX:NAB] has issued a notice this morning that it would be entering a trading halt in order to raise funds, after posting a massive hit to first-half cash earnings.

The Melbourne-based lender launched a $3.5 billion capital raising after its first-half cash earnings more than halved to $1.46 billion.

NAB’s statutory net profit for the half-year ended 31 March was down 51.3% to $1.31 billion, while cash earnings fell by 51.4%.

This morning’s announcement comes as a surprise as the Big Four lender was due to publish its half-year profit result on 7 May.

NAB warned shareholders it would cut its interim dividend from a fully franked 83 cents to 30 cents.

The cut comes as the bank increases its collective bad debt provisions by $828 million to $2.14 billion.

Of this sum, $807 million is directly related to the expected impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

Retail shareholders lucky to get anything

We knew there would eventually be a time when we had to say goodbye to the bank’s big dividends.

First the New Zealand Government ordered banks to quit paying dividends.

Then Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) ordered the banks to slash dividends on home soil.

NAB CEO Ross McEwan said the decision to pay a dividend was a balancing act that recognised the bank’s retail shareholders.

Indeed, considering the $3.5 billion cap raise, shareholders might consider themselves lucky to get any sort of dividend.

With NAB setting its expectations for a recession and much higher unemployment over 2020 and into 2021, further dividends could be put on life support.

Mr McEwan said (referring to the cap raise):

‘About 48% of shareholders do rely on a dividend… at the time of a placement you don’t want the share price dragged down.’

The cap raise will be undertaken at a fixed price of $14.15 per share, representing a discount of 8.5% on the NAB share price, of the last closing price on the ASX on 24 April.

Trading of NAB shares will be halted until Wednesday, 29 April or when the completion of the placement is announced.

Bleak outlook for top Aussie income stocks

According to the Australian Business Council, the Australian economy could take a $400 billion hit if restrictions adopted to fight the spread of COVID-19 continue.

But with the Government flagging that the restrictions and measures set up around the virus could remain for six months, the outlook remains bleak.

With APRA this month advising banks to suspend their dividend payments until there is more certainty, we could see further cuts.

Westpac Banking Corporation [ASX:WBC] are expected to release their interim results on 4 May (barring any earlier release).

Meaning Australian income investors might see another whack to their dividends.

If you are looking to protect yourself against the dividend disaster, check out our ‘Coronavirus Portfolio’.

Our Money Morning analyst reveals a two-pronged plan to help you deal with the financial fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Get your free report here.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,
For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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