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Macro Central Banks

Harmoney Share Price Surges on Strong Origination Growth (ASX:HMY)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 14 July 2021

The Harmoney Corp Ltd’s [ASX:HMY] share price jumped 8% today after delivering strong origination growth in 2H FY21. Total new originations were 144% up on 2H FY21...

The Harmoney Corp Ltd’s [ASX:HMY] share price jumped 8% today after delivering strong origination growth in 2H FY21.

Total new originations were 144% up on 2H FY21, with Australian new originations up 260%.

Harmoney shares were up as much as 12.7% in early trade before pulling back somewhat, still up 8.3% at time of writing.

HMY shares rose 50% in the last month, reflecting a recent turnaround in market sentiment.

Despite the uptrend, Harmoney is still down 35% over the last 12 months.

ASX HMY - Harmony Share Price ChartSource: Tradingview.com

Harmoney’s 2H FY21 results

Here are the key highlights from Harmoney’s 2H FY21 release:

  • Total group originations equalled NZ$250 million, representing a 29% increase on 1H FY21.
  • Harmoney delivered its largest ever month of originations in June, totalling NZ$53 million.
  • New Australian customer originations in 2H FY21 grew 260% compared to 1H FY21, totalling $47 million.
  • Total group receivables book reached NZ$501 million, yielding a net interest margin of 11%.
  • Australian receivables book grew 33% since December 2020.
  • As at 30 June 2021, undrawn committed warehouse funding lines totalled NZ$216 million.

Company PresentationSource: Company presentation

Digging deeper, there were some other interesting results in Harmoney’s release.

For instance, while new customer originations in Australia grew by 260% in the second half, repeat customer originations grew 13%.

Repeat customer originations in New Zealand fell 3% in 2H FY21.

And total repeat customer originations were exactly flat, registering 0% growth on H1 FY21.

Further, while total Australian customer originations in 2H FY21 rose by 93%, New Zealand customer originations grew by 11%.

Additionally, while Harmoney’s Australian receivables grew by 33% in the six months since December 2020, New Zealand receivables fell 1%.

This could suggest Harmoney is approaching market saturation in the New Zealand market. Although the lender attributed the decline in the New Zealand receivables book to impacts from ‘strict COVID-19 lockdowns in CY20.’

Of course, Harmoney can offset the tapering of New Zealand originations if it can sustain the high origination growth in the larger Australian market.

Recovery to pre-COVID origination levels

It is also informative to compare today’s results with Harmoney’s pre-COVID performance:

Source: Company presentation

While new customer origination growth in 2H FY21 was strong, HMY’s pre-COVID originations show that the 2H FY21 gains benefited from a low base.

Harmoney’s first two quarters of 2021 were affected by the pandemic and came in well below their corresponding quarters in 2020.

That said, CEO and Managing Director David Stevens was buoyed by Harmoney’s performance, saying ‘it’s pleasing to see Harmoney’s new customer originations have surpassed pre-COVID levels.’

Harmoney share price outlook

Harmoney Mr Stevens told the market that:

‘Harmoney has a clear strategy of growing attractive margin personal loans across Australia and New Zealand, where the total addressable market continues to expand as traditional financiers are contracting and more customers are going online for their financial services.’

In FY22, Mr Stevens thinks HMY’s strategy will ‘lead to additional revenue for the Group and add to our existing scale as we further grow our Australian business which has very little fixed cost due to the leverage we are able to achieve from our lower cost New Zealand headquarters.’

Today’s response from the market may suggest investors are optimistic about Harmoney’s strategy succeeding.

However, investors will likely keep a keen eye on Harmoney’s repeat customer origination and growth in its established New Zealand market.

If fintechs are on your investment radar, then I recommend reading this particular report, which profiles three ASX fintech stocks.

It’s an illuminating read that analyses a couple of stocks you may not have heard of before.

You can download that right here.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney

For Money Morning

PS: Our publication Money Morning is a fantastic place to start on your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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