• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Macro Australian Economy

GrainCorp’s ‘Record’ Results for 2022

Like 0

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Wednesday, 16 November 2022

Today, agricultural logistics and processing company GrainCorp [ASX:GNC] released its results for FY22, claiming a ‘record’ year for business.

Today, agricultural logistics and processing company GrainCorp [ASX:GNC] released its results for FY22, claiming a ‘record’ year for business.

GNC showed net profits (NPAT) had increased more than double on the previous year, going up from $139 million to $380 million.

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) also climbed, up from $331 million reported in 2021 to $703 million in 2022.

And yet, shareholders weren’t thrilled. In fact, the share price slipped 3% mere hours after the release.

GNC also tripped downwards by more than 6% year-to-date and more than 7% in the last month alone.

ASX:GNC grain corp stock chart

Source: TradingView

GrainCorp records improvements all round

GrainCorp, the farmed goods distributor, updated its results for the fiscal year 2022, along with an investor presentation.

The agri-logistics business reported a ‘record’ year, including an EBITDA increase of $372 million over 2021 and $241 million more in NPAT.

For the agribusiness alone, there was a 127% increase year-on-year totalling $624 million, with grain volume increasing from 34.4mmt (million metric tonnes) to 41.1mmt.

Improvements were attributed to ‘strong supply chain margins for grain exports’, helped by rising global demand, and GNC grain inventories increasing from 0.7mmt to 4.3mmt year-on-year.

Processing EBITDA was also up 63%, with $127 million on high oilseed crush margins and strong demand for vegetable oils as global production encountered supply issues across the Black Sea.

GNC also reported a high of 27.9% in ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) compared to 11.1% the previous year, driven by record oilseed and food volumes and strong Agri-Energy growth, as well as paid-back ECA investments.

The company was able to offer 54 cents per share fully franked in 2022 and ended the year with a balance sheet of $177 million in solid cash.

GrainCorp’s CEO Robert Spurway commented:

‘GrainCorp delivered a record result in FY22, with earnings up more than 100% on last year.

‘The result reflects the quality of our businesses and infrastructure assets, our operational performance, and the capability of our teams.

‘Each of our business segments recorded an increase in activity and volumes, with more grain handled and exported, higher oilseed crush volumes and stronger foods sales.

‘Our teams worked hard to navigate supply chain challenges and continue delivering for our customers, while effectively managing costs and broader inflationary pressures.

‘Disruptions to global supply chains were driven by weather events, the ongoing impacts of COVID-19 and the conflict in Ukraine.

‘Despite these challenges, global demand for Australian grain, oilseeds and vegetable oils remained strong throughout FY22 after two consecutive bumper crops in east coast Australia (ECA).’

ASX:GNC graincorp production chart

Source: GNC

Rainfall and floods jeopardise crops but GNC still confident

GNC sees its core initiatives driving a lift in EBITDA of $40 million by the end of 2023 to early 2024. Mr Spurway stated:

‘ECA conditions have been favourable leading into the 2022/23 winter harvest, with ABARES currently forecasting another well above-average crop.’

GNC’s CEO also addressed heavy rainfall negatively impacting crops, affecting ‘yield and quality’ but placed confidence in the company’s grain inventory network and export programs through 2023, summarising:

‘Pleasingly, domestic and global demand for feed and milling grades remains strong…

‘Oilseed crush margins are expected to remain favourable, and we are well positioned to continue operating our crushing facilities at high utilisation.

‘Overall, GrainCorp is well positioned for the new financial year, with our businesses performing well, a strong balance sheet and pipeline of growth opportunities.’

 

ASX:GNC graincorp graph

Source: GNC

‘The Age of Scarcity’ and the resources boom

Energy has been a topic of great importance in recent times.

But the rising cost of energy forms part of a wider story our resident commodities specialist James Cooper thinks is unfolding right now.

James says he’s ‘convinced the gears are in motion for another multi-year boom in commodities’.

A boom where Australia (and ASX stocks) stands to benefit.

James has penned a mammoth report on the topic and invites you to attend his special event — happening TODAY!

Click here to access it.

Regards,

Sign off

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Kiryll Prakapenka

Kiryll’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • The Backdoor Entry: Why Majors Buy 10% Stakes Years Before 100% Takeovers
    By James Cooper

    When mining majors take strategic stakes in juniors, it signals serious interest. Learn why these small bites precede billion-dollar takeover deals.

  • Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea
    By Murray Dawes

    Hopes for a Santa rally are building as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq just confirmed a weekly buy pivot, with odds of a US rate cut now close to 100%. In today’s Closing Bell, we look at how powerful these weekly trends can be.

  • The Problem with Exponentials
    By Charlie Ormond

    The difference between AI that can reliably handle two-hour tasks and AI that can handle multi-week tasks isn't just more capacity. It's a fundamentally different economic reality.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • The Backdoor Entry: Why Majors Buy 10% Stakes Years Before 100% Takeovers
  • Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea
  • The Problem with Exponentials
  • Get ready! Mainstream investors are going for gold
  • Banks Down, Miners Up: The easiest 5-10 year trade on the ASX

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988