• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Series Closing Bell

Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea

Like 3

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 05 December 2025

Hopes for a Santa rally are building as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq just confirmed a weekly buy pivot, with odds of a US rate cut now close to 100%. In today’s Closing Bell, we look at how powerful these weekly trends can be.

Once every few years we give our members the opportunity to kiss their annual membership fees goodbye and gain access to literally everything we publish for an, at first blush, large one off fee.

If you have done well from our work over the past year, I see it as an investment into your future investing power.

To buy everything we produce until you retire would cost you literally hundreds of thousands of dollars.

When considering how much you can pay now to get that much value I think it’s a no-brainer.

So if you’d like to take our relationship to the next level or at least consider doing so, please take the time to read this.

Every company invests profits made into growing their business which leads to even bigger profits.

It you see your investing as a business (which you should), this is a rare chance to take the leap and increase your firepower dramatically.

Now onto today’s Closing bell…

***

Hopes for a Santa rally received a boost last week with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq confirming a weekly buy signal.

As I show you in today’s Closing Bell video below, US markets can trend on the weekly charts for a long time.

Weekly buy pivots within a weekly uptrend are often a great hint that further upside is on the way.

The beauty of following the weekly pivots is that there’s a clear line in the sand below the market where you can switch back to a less bullish posture.

For example, if a weekly sell pivot happens in the next few weeks, I will change my tune.

But as long as the weekly buy pivot from last week is ‘live’, I can relax and allow the probabilities to play out that another run is likely.

Odds of an interest rate cut in the US next week are nearly 100%, and Trump is saying he knows who he will pick to head the Fed next year.

If he is a yes man, we could be in for further interest rate cuts in the US next year.

That appears to be lifting animal spirits in stocks, so a Santa rally could feed into a strong start to the year in 2026.

Unfortunately, Australia is lagging behind, with our stock market performing much weaker than the US lately. Odds of an interest rate rise have surprisingly risen recently as inflation remains elevated.

So fingers crossed a strong US market can lift us out of the doldrums.

Commodities have certainly been a bright spot of late, with copper flying this week. Charlie and I mentioned how good copper was looking last week, and have been bullish on copper for ages, so hopefully you are on board and cheering it on.

If not, we have a Christmas present for you this week with an up-and-coming copper stock mentioned today.

I give you the levels where I think they will be a strong buy moving forward.

The weakening US dollar (on the back of falling interest rates) is feeding into the strong commodity story, and there’s a chance we see a solid sell signal in the US dollar this month.

It is a complex setup in the US dollar, and I try to explain it for you in the video below.

Another complex setup is in Bitcoin, which has run +12% since we mentioned it as a possible buy last week.

However, there’s now some solid resistance overhead, as a monthly sell pivot has been confirmed.

So if you are buying Bitcoin looking for a bounce, you may want to de-risk around US$104,000–108,000.

If the selling returns from around that level, the next leg down could be a doozy.

We discuss all of the issues mentioned above in today’s bumper issue of Closing Bell, so I hope you enjoy it, and be sure to give us a like on YouTube if it added some value to your day.

YouTube player

Regards,

Murray Dawes,
Retirement Trader and International Stock Trader

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

Murray’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Retirement Trader

Latest Articles

  • Oil Whiplash, Silver Surge, Uranium Ignites: The Next Commodity Wave
    By Murray Dawes

    In today’s episode, Charlie and I are covering three major commodity moves in oil, silver, and uranium that matter right now.

  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
    By James Cooper

    Despite being an oil superpower, America desperately needs Canadian heavy crude. Now Canada's cozying up to China instead. Here's why.

  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
    By Charlie Ormond

    These aren't isolated currency wobbles. They're stress gauges for global leverage and a referendum on whether the US dollar stays dominant through higher rates, or loses ground through political chaos at the Fed.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Oil Whiplash, Silver Surge, Uranium Ignites: The Next Commodity Wave
  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
  • China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise
  • Copper and Zinc: One ASX small cap that is benefitting

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988