• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Allkem Flat on September Quarter Results

Like 0

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Friday, 21 October 2022

Large lithium producer Allkem [ASX:AKE] reported record quarterly revenue of US$150 million for lithium carbonate sales of 3,721 tonnes on a gross cash margin of 89%.

Group revenue for the quarter came in at US$298 million.

AKE said customer demand in the spodumene market ‘remains robust’ with spodumene concentrate pricing in the December quarter expected to be ‘in line’ with the September quarter.

Year to date, AKE shares are up 30%.

ASX:LKE stock chart

Source: tradingview.com

Allkem’s September Quarter

Allkem reported that production at its Olaroz Lithium Facility in Argentina was up 17% on the previous corresponding quarter, hitting 3,289 tonnes of lithium carbonate.

43% of that was battery-grade material.

As for lithium carbonate sales from Olaroz, AKE sold 3,721 tonnes. This yielded a record quarterly revenue of US$150 million with a gross cash margin of 89%.

Third-party sales for the September quarter averaged US$43,237 per tonne.

AKE expects this average price for lithium carbonate products to rise in Q2 FY23 to US$50,000, a 15% bump on the September quarter.

As for AKE’s Mt Cattlin operation, it produced 17,606 dry metric tonnes (dmt) of spodumene and shipped 21,215 dmt,

Mt Cattlin generated revenue of US$106.7 million, with a gross cash margin of 80% based on an average sales price of US$5,028/dmt.

Development updates

  • Olaroz Stage 2 is now 93% complete. However, supply issues have been flagged and likely slow progress. Pre-commissioning is due to begin Q4 CY22, with commissioning slated for Q1 CY23 through to Q2 CY23. The first production ramp-up is scheduled for Q2 CY23.
  • Olaroz Stage 2 is conducting a review of capital expenditure, considering delays, global inflation, and supply constraints. It’s likely to increase around 12% to US$425 million, excluding VAT, to be funded from operating cash flow.
  • Naraha plant commissioning advances, production expected in the December quarter.
  • Sal de Vida Stage 1 ponds are receiving brine infills, and two pond strings are 65% complete.
  • The James Bay project has passed ESIA assessments and awaits final consultation around mid-November.
  • Both Sal de Vida and James Bay experience continued cost pressure mirrored globally.
  • A binding HOA has been signed for 100% Maria Victoria lithium tenements in Olaroz.
  • The International Finance Corporation has agreed to support AKE’s financing of Sal de Vida with a US$200 million financing facility — this agreement is not yet binding.

AKE sees robust lithium demand

By the end of September, AKE’s net cash totalled US$447 million.

Allkem believes spodumene demand is ‘robust’ and concentrate pricing for the December quarter should match September’s quarter.

AKE states the average weighted price for third-party saleable lithium for Q2 FY23 could reach around US$50,000 a tonne — a 15% increase on September’s quarter.

AKE commented that EV sales grew strongly across all regions despite macro disruptions; sales in China alone were estimated at 1.9 million units during the quarter, increasing 107% period-on-period.

Allkem looked forward by stating:

‘The business is entering a period of significant growth with Naraha to begin commercial production later this year, Olaroz Stage 2 first production in the first half of next year, Sal de Vida scheduled to commence production in late 2023 and James Bay in mid-2024.’

Overlooked ASX lithium stocks

Lithium stocks have been the talk of the ASX in 2021, with eight of the top 10 best-performing stocks on the All Ords being in the lithium sector.

Even with the ongoing push, escalating prices, and government support, lithium stocks entered a correction this year.

The easy money has clearly been made.

So do any overlooked lithium stocks remain on the ASX?

According to our recent Money Morning research report, yes.

Discover three overlooked lithium stocks here.

Regards,

Kiryll Prakapenka,

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Kiryll Prakapenka

Kiryll’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • The Thief Came Through the (Chat) Window
    By Charlie Ormond

    AI is creating millions of new targets and millions of new attackers. The sector cleaning it all up is currently on sale.

  • China Capitulation Part 7: Iran’s fall shatters China’s global ambitions
    By Brian Chu

    The 'decapitation strike' on Iran over the weekend has claimed the lives of the Ayatollah and key regime leaders. This article explores further... read on.

  • Hormuz Shock
    By Charlie Ormond

    Drone strikes and naval escalation threaten the world’s most important energy corridor. The second order effects could be a headache for our hopes of rate cuts in the near term.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • The Thief Came Through the (Chat) Window
  • China Capitulation Part 7: Iran’s fall shatters China’s global ambitions
  • Hormuz Shock
  • The Case for Thinking Differently in a Herd-Mentality Market
  • Ukraine peace deal? And ASX investors to benefit?

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988