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Fin Tech

Zip Co Share Price Uneasy on Record Revenue (ASX:Z1P)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 14 October 2020

Shares trading in buy now, pay later (BNPL) platform Zip Co Ltd [ASX:Z1P] have had a shaky day in trade after announcing record revenue. Z1P has experienced steady growth in its share price since the market crash in March...

Shares trading in buy now, pay later (BNPL) platform Zip Co Ltd [ASX:Z1P] have had a shaky day in trade after announcing record revenue.

Z1P has experienced steady growth in its share price since the market crash in March.

Capitalising on the boom in online commerce due to COVID-19 induced lockdowns.

ASX Z1P - Zip Share Price Chart

Source: Tradingview

Though the Zip Co share price took a bit of a beating this morning, shedding around 8%.

But those losses have now partially been reclaimed.

At time of writing shares in Z1P are down 2.28% or 18 cents to trade at $7.72 cents per share.

The US makes up for lacklustre Aussie performance

It may have been a record in quarterly revenue for Zip Co but it wasn’t enough to quell the concerns of investors.

For the quarter ending 30 September 2020 (Q1 FY21), revenue grew by 88% year-on-year (YoY) to a record AU$71.7 million.

A quarterly transaction volume of $943.1 million, up 96%.

According to Z1P, this annualises out to be ~$3.8 billion.

The number of Zip Co customers also showed impressive growth, totalling 4.5 million, up 114%.

Australian monthly arrears (a forward indicator of future losses) reduced from 1.33% in June to 0.91% in September.

Not bad given the current climate.

Could these be the next ZIP or Afterpay? Three Innovative Fintech Stocks to Watch Now. Discover more.

So, what got investors down?

Well, it could be that Z1P’s Australian market growth is dragging its feet a little.

ANZ quarterly revenue grew just 3% quarter-on-quarter and 45% YoY.

While the US grew by 50% and 409% YoY.

Maybe that doesn’t seem so bad.

But compared to Q4 2020’s quarterly revenue growth of 5%, growth could be slowing.

Net bad debts also increased over the quarter to 2.43%, reflecting the difficult economic conditions.

What’s in store for the Zip share price?

The market has focused on the negatives in the quarterly update today.

However, I think the share price action might have been an overreaction given the recovery throughout the day.

The moderation in revenue growth within the ANZ market could be a little concerning.

But with Z1P’s recent foray into the US market producing pleasing results, there is still significant upside.

And with Z1P’s UK launch on track for this half, the company will further diversify its growth options.

In terms of share price, one brokerage firm, RBC Capital Markets, has high hopes.

RBC says that with the government stimulus roll-off just around the corner, BNPL players like Z1P have a distinct advantage with low account balances, dynamic credit-decisioning, and high receivable book turnover.

If that’s the case, then these three Aussie fintechs could have some significant growth potential. In our latest report discover three promising Aussie fintechs that are currently trading below $1. Click here to learn more.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy holds a PhD in economics from RMIT University, where his research focused on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work was housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He also holds a Master of Science degree from the London School of Economics and an B.A. (Hons.) in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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