• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer
  • Home
  • Latest
  • Videos
  • Series
  • E-Newsletters
  • Categories
    • Commodities
    • Macro
    • Market Analysis
    • Small Caps
    • Technology
  • Investment Guides
  • Premium Services
  • Editors
  • About
  • Contact Us
  • Subscribe
Fat Tail Daily
Subscribe
  • Home
  • Latest
  • Videos
  • E-Newsletters
  • Premium Services
No Index

We Have Always Been at War with East Asia

Like 0

By Bill Bonner, Thursday, 01 August 2024

‘If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face — forever.’

George Orwell, 1984

More and more, the headline news tells us that competitors are circling. Cryptopolitan:

‘The BRICS [are] doubling down on [their] plan to use national currencies for global trade, sidelining the US dollar.

‘Over the past five years, BRICS [have] expanded [their] reach and influence. The group now has 11 members, with recent additions Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the UAE. This expansion has strengthened the bloc’s economic power.

‘The IMF predicts that by 2028, BRICS countries will account for nearly 38% of the world’s GDP, overtaking the G7. By developing their own financial systems, like the proposed BRICS Bridge, these countries are trying to create a new economic order.’

Among the truisms…that Americans believe, but are likely not true at all are…

…that other forms of government cannot compete with US democracy…

…that other economic systems cannot compete with the ‘free’ American economy…

…and that the Pentagon can kick any butt in the world, anytime it wants.

It is through those crystal truths that we see why ‘The West’ is destined to be triumphant…not just now…but more or less forever.

And yet, here’s the latest from Asia Times:

Researcher Geoff Roberts has compiled a very useful list of what China is doing right.

And when it comes to the nitty gritty, the numbers are staggering. Here are just a few, apart from GDP growth:

  • Foreign goods trade is up 6.1% to $2.9 trillion year-on-year.
  • The trade surplus is at $85 billion, up 12% compared to 2023.
  • ASEAN trade is up by 10.5% to $80 billion; China is the number one trade partner of individual ASEAN members.
  • China had a record crop, 150 million tonnes, of cereal grains.
  • The courier sector handled 80 billion parcels, up 23% year-on-year.
  • SMIC is the world’s number two pure-play foundry, after Taiwan’s TSMC.
  • China Telecom paid $265 million for 23% of QuantumCTek, patentor of Micius, the world’s first quantum communications satellite.
  • Commercial aerospace launched 39% of China’s 26 rockets.
  • Invention patents rose 43% to 524,000. China is the first country with 4 million domestic invention patents in force.
  • Baidu’s 1,000 robotaxis in Wuhan will break even in Q4 and will be profitable next year.
  • China has 47% of the world’s top AI talent. It added no less than 2000 AI courses to school and college curricula since 2019.
  • Of world-class institutions doubling as research leaders, 7 out of 10 are Chinese, including the top one: the Chinese Academy of Sciences, ahead of Harvard.

US geo-strategists were counting on India to maintain a counterweight to China. The two are historic enemies. And now, India has a bigger population and a growing economy.

But wait. Here’s ‘Spengler:’

‘India’s Narendra Modi and China’s Xi Jinping are moving closer together.

‘India’s Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on July 25 endorsed her economic advisor’s proposal to open the country to direct investment from China, effectively frozen since the Sino-Indian border clashes of 2020.

‘The proposed opening to China — a rebuke to American diplomacy in the region — followed Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to New Delhi earlier this month.

‘Asia Times’ newsletter Global Risk-Reward Monitor reported exclusively July 11, “Modi asked Putin to help India resolve its longstanding border dispute with China. This is the most important military conflict in Asia, limited as it is, because it puts the region’s two largest countries at odds. Russian mediation, however informal, would entail a diplomatic revolution, and make a mockery of America’s hope of rallying Asian countries against China.”’

If ‘The West’ (which Orwell called ‘Oceania’) is really in decline, something else must rise. And yes, the BRICS and the Eurasian Heartland seem to be coming together to oppose it.

What next?

Stay tuned.

Regards,

Bill Bonner Signature

Bill Bonner,
For Fat Tail Daily

PS: Big Reminder! Don’t forget to tune into the big blockbuster 150th episode of Murray Dawes’ ‘Closing Bell’ this Saturday!

Murray believes a certain clutch of stocks are approaching a final ‘buy at a big discount’ opportunity.

Before they potentially approach new highs.

And he’s zeroing in on one play in particular. All will be revealed in Closing Bell #150.

Make sure you watch for the email subject line: Closing Bell #150: A Special Trade

You can set a Calendar Reminder by clicking here.

Or subscribe for free to the Closing Bell YouTube channel here.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Bill Bonner

Bill’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • The Cockroaches are Multiplying
    By Charlie Ormond

    Six weeks ago, I asked whether private credit was the new subprime. Things are only looking worse since.

  • Green Light Still Pending
    By Murray Dawes

    Markets surged this week on news of a ceasefire in Iran. But a strict reading of the trading model suggests caution, with short-term risks still pointing to potential downside despite strong price action.

  • Part I: The Great Energy Pivot: How the Rules of Global Oil and Gas Are Being Rewritten
    By James Cooper

    The old energy order is fracturing. Decades of balance between buyers and sellers is unravelling — and the suppliers are winning.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • The Cockroaches are Multiplying
  • Green Light Still Pending
  • Part I: The Great Energy Pivot: How the Rules of Global Oil and Gas Are Being Rewritten
  • The Chokepoint Always Wins
  • China Capitulation Part 9 – Rethinking a regime’s control over its people

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988