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Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Magellan [ASX:MFG] Profits Half But Shares Surge Double Digits

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By Charlie Ormond, Friday, 18 August 2023

Magellan Financial Group saw its profits and revenue dive this year but has still been one of ASX's best performers today, as the company announced a special dividend of 30 cents per share and promised a reset in its priorities.

In an interesting turn of events today, embattled Australian asset manager Magellan Financial Group [ASX:MFG] saw its shares surge by 18.15%, trading at $10.87 per share, despite its latest earnings report highlighting the struggles of its funds and profits.

Investors today have recovered almost half of the losses the share price has seen this year, as the company slogged through the first year of its five-year strategy shift to improve profitability.

While initial figures seemed challenging for the firm, its strong cash position and the issue of a 30 cent special dividend have given investors enough reason to buy today, bringing the company’s 12-month performance to a negative 22.30% fall.

It’s still a far cry from the company’s share price in 2020, which peaked at $72.40 per share.

Let’s explore the earnings in further detail and see if the strategy can lift Magellan in the future.

ASX:MFG stock chart magellan

Source: TradingView

Magellan’s earnings slump

In a bold display of financial strength, Magellan announced a special dividend that resonated with investors today, countering the news of falling profits for the firm.

Magellan’s financial performance in 2023 has been marked by a 52% slump in net profit, settling at $182.6 million.

The dip can be attributed to a 22% drop in revenue, which stood at $431.7 million. This tumultuous year was compounded by low client redemptions, leading to a huge contraction of total funds under management from $61.3 billion to $39.7 billion.

Magellan went on the aggressive today, maintaining it was happy with its current position and offering a special dividend of 30 cents, bringing the total for the year to $1.167 per share.

The company reiterated that despite its poor performance this year, it remained focused on cost management and maintaining its strategy to stimulate growth.

Magellan CEO and Managing Director, David George, said today:

‘We have made a solid start to implementing our five-year strategy and have laid the foundation that can return us growth in time.’

‘These changes have facilitated early signs of performance improvement, in particular, in our Global Equities Strategy which outperformed the benchmark over the second half of the financial year and contributed $11.0 million in performance fees.’

As part of the changes, the company announced former Janus Henderson co-chief Andrew Formica as the new chairman.

He has said that his goal is charting a course to steer the asset manager back to prosperity, exploring the realms of mergers and acquisitions both within Australia and on the global stage.

The cost-cutting and wider growth are all part of CEO David George’s five-year strategy, outlined in late 2022, to return the company to its glory days.

Sadly, the glory was not seen in the firm’s investment funds performance this year, with its flagship, Magellan Global Fund, returning 20.6% over the year — versus the benchmark 22.4%.

While its Australian equities — the Airlie Australian Share Fund [ASX:AASF] — returned 18.1% compared to the benchmark of 14.8%.

The company said it had found strategies to improve its performance and remained committed to share buybacks, extending its program until April 2024. So far, 4.3 million shares have been bought for $47 million.

Outlook of Magellan’s strategy

As one of the top performers on the ASX today, investors welcome the resolve of the firm’s strategy and see the company as a discounted pick-up with a nice dividend payout.

The special dividend and cost cuts are a positive step for Magellan, but the company still faces several challenges.

It needs to rebuild its client base and restore its investment performance in order to attract new money.

The company recently launched a small cap investor fund, realising the potential for gains in the space at this point of the cycle.

However, the firm needs to show an extended outperformance of benchmarks to bring wary investors back into the fund.

performance comparison

Source: Eureka Report (Magellan in blue)

For a longer view, the company scrapped the headline of its strategy, which aimed for $100 billion of assets under management instead opting for realistic wins to drive confidence.

It shows pragmatism by leadership as the company reassess its priorities, such as its balance sheet. The company has, so far, managed it well with no debt and $373.4 million in cash.

Overall, strong performance in the share price today will give the company a boost of confidence moving forward.

Still, I suspect things will remain quiet for the company until a larger merger or acquisition further defines the firm’s trajectory.

Investing in active funds could seem risky to some after the past week’s sell-off. Instead, many are turning to dividend-paying companies as a defensive strategy.

But not all dividend payers are the same.

Royal Dividends

The market has hit another bump in the road in recent days, US markets fear higher interest rates for longer while China’s property market woes risks spreading deeper into the economy.

With things looking dicey in the stock market, maybe it’s time to change tactics.

Smart investors are focusing on quality stocks that can provide safety and pay dividends.

But only buying straight dividend-payers could be fruitless in anything but the short term.

That’s why our investing expert and Editorial Director, Greg Canavan, has spent his time finding the smart move.

He calls it the Royal Dividend Portfolio, and it’s the sweet spot between growth and dividends.

If you think you’re overexposed in uncertain times or simply too defensive, you need to consider something defensive that has a chance to grow.

Click here to learn more about what that looks like.

Regards,

Charles Ormond,

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Charlie Ormond

With more than a decade of fintech experience, including stretches in critical roles at budding start-ups and tech titans like Microsoft, Charles is squarely focused on investment opportunities in emerging sectors. Interestingly, his academic foundation in zoology provides an unexpected edge! He applies his scientific training with his analytical mindset to figure out tomorrow’s winners and losers. While traditional institutions stick with ‘safe’ stocks, Charles goes straight for seismic shifts in crypto and AI. He’s an early adopter of both technologies.

Now he’s on a mission to empower everyday investors. He decodes groundbreaking developments in technology stocks before they grab mainstream attention. So, if you seek an unconventional perspective to help capitalise on what’s next in fintech, look no further.

Charlie’s Premium Subscriptions

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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