Six weeks ago, I asked whether private credit was the new subprime. Things are only looking worse since.
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Green Light Still Pending
Markets surged this week on news of a ceasefire in Iran. But a strict reading of the trading model suggests caution, with short-term risks still pointing to potential downside despite strong price action.
Part I: The Great Energy Pivot: How the Rules of Global Oil and Gas Are Being Rewritten
The old energy order is fracturing. Decades of balance between buyers and sellers is unravelling — and the suppliers are winning.
The Chokepoint Always Wins
Markets continue to price this as a temporary disruption. But the idea that Iran will simply hand Hormuz back for free looks naïve in the gaze of history.
China Capitulation Part 9 – Rethinking a regime’s control over its people
Iran has shown that a regime can suppress its people but still end up more vulnerable than ever. This could be a warning to the Chinese Communist Party elites that a massive army don’t ensure their safety.
Don’t Watch The Strait, Read This
Iran’s oil shock is squeezing markets while AI devours electricity, pushing capital toward one overlooked winner: baseload nuclear and uranium plays
