• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
No Index

Groundrush

Like 5

By Bill Bonner, Monday, 25 August 2025

We humans fall off the ledge the day we are born. And every bubble. Every human life. Every empire. And every paper currency ends the same way.

Dear Kali,

‘It is what it is.‘

— The Irishman

History must be obeyed. Natural laws must be respected. The future’s gotta happen, whether we like it or not.

In the news yesterday, Invezz:

Palantir stock falls 7% amid sixth straight day of losses: analysts weigh revival prospects

Cryptopolitan:

Stock erases $73 billion in value, as short sellers finally win

Forbes:

Palantir Stock Down 20%. May Fall 74% More As AI’s Payoff Stays Low

Palantir was the biggest success story of the year. Profiting from creepy contracts with the feds, its stock rose to 230 times profits…and 114 times sales.

Talk about a disconnect with the real world! At that price, Palantir was hardly in the same solar system. Investors were lost in space.

Everything has a beginning and an end. In between is detail. Often misleading. Always puzzling and dazzling. But if you jump off a high building, you know where you’re going. You may feel perfectly good for a few seconds. Imagine the feeling of weightlessness Palantir shareholders must have felt…with no financial gravity holding their feet to the earth. It must have seemed as if they had reached a financial escape velocity — free from the tug of the planets…headed for the stars.

We humans fall off the ledge the day we are born. And every bubble. Every human life. Every empire. And every paper currency ends the same way. The ground rush might be exhilarating, but the final chapter reads: splat.

And now…all appear to be in the home stretch. The empire peaked out around 1999. The dollar has been losing value at least since 1971; Palantir hit its high a week ago. And Donald J. Trump, along with all of us baby boomers, is forgetting the name of that big puddle between California and China.

We all face a rendezvous-with-destiny. And all seem to be gaining speed.

The US empire increases outlays and deficits, while reducing revenues with tax cuts.

Money keeps flowing to the Military-Industrial-Israel-Complex, including funding for the Ukraine, even as POTUS angles for a peace prize by ending the war.

Tariffs are slowing world trade, making everyone — especially the US — a little poorer. Importantly, they bring such instability and disorder that it drives other nations away from the US orbit.

India has the world’s biggest population. China is the world’s leading exporter and cutting-edge technology developer. They are traditional enemies. But put the two together with Russia…and you have a huge, creditable rival for the world’s leading hegemon. Anadolu Agency:

China’s top diplomat hails ‘positive trend’ in ties with India

[China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi] is on his first trip to India since 2022..The trip also comes as the US-India strategic ties have witnessed strain under Trump’s second term, as Washington has punished New Delhi with staggering 50% tariffs, accusing the world’s most populous country of “unfair trade” and “funding” Russia’s “war machine” as conflict in Ukraine continues.

Meanwhile, the dollar continues to fall; the feds threw it out of a window 54 years ago. It then became a purely ‘paper’ currency, un-tethered to anything real or durable. The lifecycle of paper currency is long studied and well known. Like an empire, it begins with great excitement and pleasure…but ends as trash.

And now, the big question is: which will end first? The bubble in stocks? The empire? The dollar? Our own dear readers…or dear writer?

We don’t know. But we hope we’re still floating down past the 3rd or 2nd floor when we find out.

It is what it is.

Regards,

Bill Bonner,
For Fat Tail Daily

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
5 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Bill Bonner

Bill’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • Investment fads keep dying before I can profit from them
    By Nick Hubble

    By the time I’ve figured out how to profit from the latest government-driven investment boom, it suddenly ceases to exit. How can politicians be this fickle?

  • Bitcoin’s Rocky Descent: Why This Isn’t Winter (Yet)
    By Lachlann Tierney

    Bitcoin has plunged 24% from October's peak to a seven-month low, but Lachlann Tierney things this shakeout isn't a crypto winter yet. US regulatory support and central bank easing suggest otherwise.

  • Why ‘One-Hit Wonder’ Explorers Will Burn Your Money: The Repeatability Test
    By James Cooper

    In James Cooper’s ongoing series about ‘geology for investors, ’ he details why grades aren’t the only factor in exploration success.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Investment fads keep dying before I can profit from them
  • Bitcoin’s Rocky Descent: Why This Isn’t Winter (Yet)
  • Why ‘One-Hit Wonder’ Explorers Will Burn Your Money: The Repeatability Test
  • Cassandra Goes Unheard
  • ASX About to Crack?

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988