• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Commodities

From Gold to Bauxite: Why We’re Betting on Industrial Metals in 2026

Like 0

By James Cooper, Friday, 30 January 2026

After cashing on a 200% gain for his paid readership group in a little-known gold producer, James Cooper reveals the next hidden gem for investors to follow

Yesterday, we closed one of our gold trades: Eldorado Gold [TSX: ELD] for my paid readership group.

Like many gold producers, it’s had a terrific run on the back of surging precious metal prices.

On this trade alone, we banked a near-200% gain in the 18 months we owned it.

In hindsight, that might look easy given that precious metal prices seem to only move in one direction… Up.

But at the time we added Eldorado, gold miners were vastly underperforming the price of gold.

Meanwhile, mid-cap producers like Eldorado were vastly underperforming the larger caps.

The company sat under the radar for investors, despite strong moves in certain gold miners.

Eldorado was also ramping up production at some of the world’s highest-grade gold mines, yet its share price remained flat.

To me, it held the perfect formula. The numbers didn’t lie.

But rising in value some 200% over the last 18 months, this is no longer a hidden gem; the market has caught up to the opportunity and priced it accordingly.

For us, that was a sign to hit the sell button and move on.

So, where to next?

The 2026 Trade: Industrial Metals

Uncovering hidden gems in the resource market while they’re still off investors’ radars can deliver hefty gains.

But in today’s market, you’re probably not going to find it among the gold producers.

That’s why, for my paid readership group, we’ve dug deeper into lesser-known metals, such as zinc, nickel and aluminium.

These are ordinary industrial commodities, not making headlines like critical minerals or precious metals.

So, why would you invest in them?

As I’ve pointed out, industrial metals could become an important theme this year, especially as the breadth of this commodity market continues to widen.

And that’s how we are positioning

The departure of Eldorado Gold from our portfolio paves the way for new opportunities.

Last week, I issued a new recommendation that taps into this industrial metal theme. Specifically, a company mining bauxite.

If you’re not familiar, bauxite is the rock that hosts aluminium, an important material in construction and manufacturing.

It’s one of the world’s key industrial metals due to its light weight, conductivity, rust resistance, and durability.

But this crucial metal faces specific supply constraints that could push prices higher in the months ahead.

How so?

You might recall our focus on the spreading risk of resource nationalisation across the globe, especially within West Africa.

As I pointed out, the heightened risk is often a symptom of stronger commodity prices, where nations seek to capture a greater share of their mineral wealth by bringing mines under state control.

It’s an important trend that we’ve continued to monitor.

So, how could it affect
the aluminium market?

Outside of Australia, Guinea, a country in West Africa, is one of the world’s largest producers of bauxite.

It also hosts the world’s largest ‘unmined’ reserves, making it critical for future supply, as you can see below:

Source: US Geological Survey

However, like its West African neighbours, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, junta-led governments are tightening their grip over mining operations.

And in some cases, taking full ownership of the mines with little or no compensation.

So far, that’s mainly been focused on gold and uranium mines, a direct reaction to higher prices.

However, as the resource bull market broadens, I fully anticipate that nationalisation will spread to other commodities.

In fact, last year, Guinea, the world’s most important source of future bauxite supply, revoked the mining license of a multinational miner, Emirates Global Aluminium.

This effectively puts the company’s assets under state control. Hundreds of millions of capital expenditure, gone in a flash.

Guinea, a major supplier of this important metal, is actively taking over bauxite mines from international firms.

No doubt, there will be consequences.

Nationalism cuts off the flow of international investment, halts mine development and ultimately restricts supply.

The investment angle

Given the lack of operations in safe jurisdictions, this market is difficult for investors to gain exposure to.

And that’s further challenged given that bauxite operations tend to be tightly held by the multi-commodity majors.

Yet, gaining pure-play is the best way to benefit from higher prices.

So, how can investors do it?

Well, there are a few opportunities in the market.

That includes a company I recommended to my paid readership group last week.

A mid-cap bauxite miner offering a rare blend of pure-play exposure and low jurisdictional risk.

A rare find in this market. And exactly the type of stock that could gain outsized attention if we see the commodity cycle broaden out and push base metal prices higher.

And that’s how we leverage our profits at my premium-paid service… Shifting from one hidden opportunity to the next.

If you’d like to find out some other hidden gems in this market, you can do so here.

Regards,

James Cooper,
Mining: Phase One and Diggers and Drillers

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
James Cooper

James Cooper has been a working geologist in mines across Australia, Canada, and Africa since the early 2000s. He’s led the operations of tiny explorers through to huge producer outfits. He’s seen booms and busts firsthand and he also understands the cyclical nature of individual commodities. For example, James was right there when Barrick Gold launched an enormous $7.5 billion takeover bid for Equinox. That was the peak of the last cycle.

With his background as a geo and finance professional, he brings a unique insight and experience to Fat Tail Investment Research. He writes the broader resource-focused investing letter Diggers and Drillers and the ultra-speculative explorer-focused trading service Mining: Phase One.

James’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Diggers and Drillers
Publication logo
Mining: Phase One

Latest Articles

  • From Gold to Bauxite: Why We’re Betting on Industrial Metals in 2026
    By James Cooper

    After cashing on a 200% gain for his paid readership group in a little-known gold producer, James Cooper reveals the next hidden gem for investors to follow

  • Tech-Rocks Pt.3: How Commodities And AI Lead to More of Both
    By Lachlann Tierney

    AI data centres devour copper, lithium, rare earths. Meanwhile, AI tracks the minerals it needs. The feedback loop is just beginning.

  • China Capitulation Part 3 – revealing fundamental flaws that stop China from being a truly great nation
    By Brian Chu

    Today’s article covers how China’s weakness from within hold it back. We delve into its mindset of glossing over its image, a conformist societal structure, and how it acts in self-destructive ways. Read on to find out what many western analysts miss…

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • From Gold to Bauxite: Why We’re Betting on Industrial Metals in 2026
  • Tech-Rocks Pt.3: How Commodities And AI Lead to More of Both
  • China Capitulation Part 3 – revealing fundamental flaws that stop China from being a truly great nation
  • Tech-Rocks Pt 2: When Rocks Beat Robots (And What’s Next)
  • Still Time to Add Second-Tier Copper Stocks

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988