• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Series Closing Bell

Closing Bell Finale: The Setup for 2026

Like 2

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 12 December 2025

This is the final live Closing Bell for 2025, and it tees up what Murray thinks could matter most in 2026. The big theme is the growing gap between Australian and US interest rates. Falling US rates and a softer US dollar could shape the biggest opportunities next year. A weaker US dollar is helping commodities push higher, and the move is already showing up across gold, silver, copper, rare earths, lithium, and uranium, with more upside possible.

This is the final live instalment of Closing Bell for 2025, and we have put together a comprehensive update for you today, so don’t miss it.

Over the next three weeks, instead of our usual weekly coverage, we’ll share with you a free three-part educational series to explain major parts of my trading model to you.

So, if you have been enjoying my Closing Bell series but have spent some time wondering what I’m talking about and want to know more, this series is for you.

The first video will explain how ranges form and why they’re a fabulous opportunity to enter solid trades with brilliant risk/reward characteristics.

In the second video, I’ll show you what buy and sell pivots are and how powerful they can be when using the right timeframe.

The third video will explain my trend following methods and combine everything you have learned into a unified whole.

So I hope you check in every Friday over the Christmas break to scrub up on your technical analysis, so you hit the ground running next year.

Today’s Closing Bell delves into the rising divergence between Australian and US interest rates.

It’s something that could define the biggest opportunities next year.

A falling US dollar feeds into rising commodities, and we are already seeing a nice run in gold, silver, copper, rare earths, lithium, and uranium.

If you have been a regular watcher of Closing Bell this year, you should already be in some great positions before these major rallies began.

I reckon there’s still plenty of upside to come in key commodities next year, so you haven’t missed the boat if you are still on the sidelines.

US stocks are adjusting to falling interest rates, with some money coming out of expensive tech stocks and heading into smaller stocks in the ‘real’ economy.

Small and mid-cap stocks are finally catching a bid, and the Russell 2000 has just had a major breakout above a four-year resistance level.

Australian stocks are now reacting to the positive US lead and the kick higher in commodities from a falling US dollar.

Although Aussie stocks remain weaker than their US counterparts, a weekly buy pivot today will switch off the bearish picture for the moment and open the door to a Santa rally.

So click on the picture below to watch Charlie and I trying to figure out what 2026 will look like and where the big money will be made.

I hope you enjoy my three-part trader education series over the next few weeks, and I will be back on deck in the New Year.

If we have helped you make a few bob over the year, be sure to drop by the YouTube version and leave a comment and a ‘like’.

YouTube player

Regards,

Murray Dawes,
Retirement Trader and International Stock Trader

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
1 Comment
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

Murray’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Retirement Trader

Latest Articles

  • Closing Bell Finale: The Setup for 2026
    By Murray Dawes

    This is the final live Closing Bell for 2025, and it tees up what Murray thinks could matter most in 2026. The big theme is the growing gap between Australian and US interest rates. Falling US rates and a softer US dollar could shape the biggest opportunities next year. A weaker US dollar is helping commodities push higher, and the move is already showing up across gold, silver, copper, rare earths, lithium, and uranium, with more upside possible.

  • As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things
    By James Cooper

    Cheap resource companies producing real things, that’s what James Cooper and Greg Canavan discuss in this latest edition of Mining Memo.

  • Prediction double-down for 2026
    By Charlie Ormond

    In my opinion, Tesla has become a symbol of blind AI optimism for retail investors. Whether that’s their promised full self-driving (FSD) or mass-scale robotics in 2026, investors should be ready for another harsh dose of reality.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Closing Bell Finale: The Setup for 2026
  • As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things
  • Prediction double-down for 2026
  • Australia’s awakening – Brace for it…
  • Retrospective Pt. 3 (Crypto)

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988