• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Technology

All Eyes on 20th January

Like 0

By Ryan Dinse, Monday, 18 November 2024

With Trump’s win, the game has changed for one Bitcoin. Recent regulatory filings show big buyers are starting to come in en-masse. In fact, I think we’re at an inflection point where a new Supercycle begins. And January 20th is the key date to watch

As I pointed out last week, one big early winner of Trump’s election win is Bitcoin [BTC].

This chart says it all:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Coinigy

This current surge has been record-breaking.

Now, you might not be a fan of Donald Trump. Or Bitcoin, for that matter!

But remember what I said last week.

If you want the opportunity to make money in the markets, you must be open-minded and let the evidence — not your own prejudices or biases — tell you what to do.

I wrote:

‘No idea is too crazy if that’s where the evidence leads. Some of my best investments – like Bitcoin – have come from hated or derided sectors.’

So today, let’s look at the evidence on the ground.

What is behind this price action?

Once I show you what’s happening, you’ll see why I think you should consider adding some Bitcoin to your portfolio as soon as you can.

Let’s start with this massive milestone…

Bitcoin takes silver…gold will be next!

Get this…

Last Wednesday, the price of Bitcoin shot up US$8,343 in just one day!

That was the biggest one-day gain on record.

Check it out:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Galaxy Digital

That surge led to Bitcoin overtaking silver as the second biggest monetary commodity.

As I said to subscribers of my Crypto Capital service on Thursday:

‘Next stop, gold!!!

‘Incidentally, if that were to happen, you’d be looking at a 10x increase from here. Or one Bitcoin equalling US$944,444.’

Of course, we don’t know if or when this could happen, bitcoin is still a volatile asset.

But speaking of gold, it’s interesting to see how it has performed in comparison to Bitcoin since Trump’s win.

Check out this chart:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Trading View

See that huge divergence?

As one commentator noted:

‘Pretty wild that the blow-off top on gold just happened on the same day a pro-bitcoin president was elected.

‘Historians might one day consider November 5th, 2024, as the pivot point in history when Bitcoin started to demonetize gold.’

Bitcoin to flip gold?

Many people probably still think this is impossible.

But it isn’t just wishful thinking from the pro-Bitcoin crowd.

Indeed, a sitting senator on the Republican side is actively pursuing this exact agenda:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Bloomberg

Yep, the game has changed with Trump’s win.

And when you dig deeper, you can see an increasing number of big-name buyers think this too…

So, who is buying?

Micro Strategy, who we’ve talked about previously, bought another US$2 billion worth of Bitcoin last week.

They’ve been buying Bitcoin in size for about four years now and have had better gains over that time frame than AI-darling Nvidia!

But they weren’t responsible for last weekend’s surge.

There appear to be some new ‘whales’ in town, though who exactly they are is hard to pin down at this stage.

There are persistent rumours that a big Petro-nation like Saudia Arabi or Qatar is buying in big.

Though nothing has been confirmed on that front yet.

But late last week, the latest regulatory filings dropped — called 13F disclosures — in which listed US entities revealed their Bitcoin purchases.

Check out some of the big-name buyers from the last quarter:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: X.com

Make no mistake: corporate America is getting a taste for Bitcoin.

And the big funds are coming next.

If this note from traditional finance firm Bernstein is anything to go by, we could be set for some interesting updates ahead:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Bernstein

As I said before, Trump’s win changed the politics of investing in crypto and the race to get a bite of this action is on.

It’s not just Trump driving the political tailwinds either…

With the recent appointment of Robert F. Kennedy Jr to Health, we now have 12 Bitcoin allies, 8 confirmed crypto holders, and 7 confirmed Bitcoin holders in his new team.

Plus, we’re seeing actual state governments in the US start to debate Bills like this:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Fox Business

In my opinion, you’ve still got time to jump on board before we see the next surge, but maybe not for much longer…

You may have three months, if I’m right

One interesting thing to note is that we’re not at the frenzy stage yet.

This chart explains why:

Fat Tail Investment Research

Source: Timothy Peterson/Cane Digital Research

Analyst Tim Peterson created this chart and it’s a measure of buying strength.

The peaks and troughs (blue) align well with Bitcoin’s bull and bear markets.

As Peterson noted:

‘The peak of 2017 was 97%; 2021 was 84%. The current level is 16% above “middle” of the cycle. Still much upside. In fact, the magnitude of the recent rally, compared to historical volatility, is rather small.’

If Peterson’s indicator is right again, this party is just starting.

But by January 20th 2025, the window of opportunity could be shut.

Read my just-released special report here to understand why this is such an urgent date.

It’ll explain exactly what’s happening behind the scenes in Washington and how you can get ahead of what I think is coming next.

Speak soon…

Regards,

Ryan Dinse Signature

Ryan Dinse,
Editor,
Crypto Capital and Alpha Tech Trader

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Ryan Dinse

Ryan is a former financial advisor who over seven years helped more than 600 clients and had more than $150 million under management. This experience taught him that the mainstream investment industry has no interest in helping clients strive for greatness. He was told to make ‘safe’ investment plays and settle for average returns. It wasn’t good enough for Ryan.

In 2016, he embarked on a renewed mission: to help ordinary people lock onto extraordinary trends before they go mainstream. He’s an experienced small-cap trader and an expert in cryptocurrencies. He first bought Bitcoin [BTC] in 2013, when it was around US$600.

His crypto advisory is a must for anyone looking to make digital assets a part of their long-term portfolio. Check it out here. His tech advisory Alpha Tech Trader aims to identify and latch onto strong emerging opportunities in the tech sector, wherever they are in the world. Get more info here.

Ryan’s Premium Subscriptions

Latest Articles

  • Don’t Get Swept Up By the Herd: Bulls & Bears in an Age of Social Media
    By Charlie Ormond

    Markets have always reflected this chaotic behaviour, but today’s markets operate in an environment fundamentally transformed by social media.

  • The latest Closing Bell is available now
    By Callum Newman

    Tune in today to watch the latest Closing Bell podcast with Murray Dawes. We discuss gold, oil, real estate…plus a stock to watch. Tune in now!

  • Thorium: One Step Closer to China’s Energy Fortress
    By James Cooper

    Forget AI, the biggest breakthrough of this century will revolve around ENERGY. And the commercialisation of Thorium reactors could be at the heart. Read on to find out why China could be about to make history.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Don’t Get Swept Up By the Herd: Bulls & Bears in an Age of Social Media
  • The latest Closing Bell is available now
  • Thorium: One Step Closer to China’s Energy Fortress
  • The famous yield curve: buy or sell signal? You decide…
  • How Australians voted for a great wealth redistribution

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988