• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Latest

2 recent ASX winners looked like this

Like 1

By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 17 December 2025

Lachlann Tierney breaks down three critical aspects of finding good small stocks on the ASX, with two recent portfolio success stories.

Yesterday I said there are three factors that you can look for in ASX small caps that give them a better chance of doing well on the charts.

  1. Tight Share Registers: I want to see a Top 20 that holds 50-60% of the stock. When good news hits…say, a Department of War grant or a strategic offtake, you want a shortage of paper on the market to drive the price vertical.
  2. Skin in the Game Management: I want MDs who are buying on market and hold a good chunk themselves, not issuing themselves options. If they don’t believe in the project enough to put their own cash up, why should you?
  3. Low Enterprise Value (EV): The best leverage comes from buying assets for cents on the dollar compared to their resource value. Companies where the cash backing is high and the market cap is not inflated.

These three factors are part of a broader 5C system that I employ in my Fat Tail Micro-Caps service.

So today I’ll show you two examples from this service, where the stocks had these characteristics.

NOTE: Both have run quite hard since they were recommended and ARE NOT ACTIVE BUYS, so DO NOT interpret them as recommendations or financial advice.

Example #1: Uranium developer

Let’s take a look at the first one, Bannerman Energy [ASX:BMN].

BMN has a nice, low SOI (Shares on Issue) of ~207M shares floating around on the market.

You don’t want to see billions of shares – this is a bad sign that the company has done lots of dilutive raises.

It also has a solid concentration of Top 20 shareholders, who in June of this year held ~76% of the register:

Source: ASX

As for skin in the game – management, particularly Executive Chairman Brandon Munro who has steered this company for a long time, looks to hold about ~1.8M shares.

That’s nearly 1% of a now ~$631M company – meaning he has about $5M riding on the success of this company.

That’s not chump change.

It has $111M in net cash as of 30 September, with a market cap of $631M. That’s an EV of $520M.

Not bad for a company with a Total Resource of 207.8 Million pounds (Mlbs) of contained U₃O₈ approaching a Final Investment decision on one of the world’s largest, most advanced uranium development assets.

We entered at $1.75 in mid-2023

The share price went as high as $4.87 in May of last year and has oscillated quite a bit, but I’m happy to say we are up ~65% across two legs of the trade and holding one third of our position after taking profits along the way.

We now get to hold into, ideally, a major uranium price run and BMN successfully reaching Final Investment Decision and constructing the mine.

Here’s another example that meets the criteria.

Example #2: Gold and Gallium in Arizona

Next up is G50, which has a relatively low SOI of ~200M shares on issue.

When I first recommended it to members, its Board and Management held ~50% of the register.

Managing Director Mark Wallace now holds ~4.3M shares, worth ~$2.5M.

That shows commitment.

As for EV, it has $9M in cash against a ~$115 million market cap. It’s obviously not as attractive now after the market woke up to the story.

It was much better previously, when we entered in July ahead of the gold drilling results, which started to come and revealed potential for a +1Moz resource.

Either way, I’m happy to report that after some profit taking on the first third of the trade, members of the service are sitting on a ~100% win in 5 months across the position.

Just goes to show you what’s possible with a bit of digging, and attentiveness to key features of strongly performing companies.

Try it at home, or better yet become a member of Fat Tail Micro-Caps.

Speaking of which…

Keep your eyes peeled for a special Christmas present in your inbox over the break period.

Hint: it will be included in my 2026 Outlook piece.

Happy holidays too, thanks for reading.

Best Wishes,

Lachlann Tierney,
Australian Small-Cap Investigator and Fat Tail Micro-Caps

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
2 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

Lachlann’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Australian Small-Cap Investigator
Publication logo
Fat Tail Microcaps
Publication logo
James Altucher’s Early-Stage Crypto Investor Australia

Latest Articles

  • Oil Whiplash, Silver Surge, Uranium Ignites: The Next Commodity Wave
    By Murray Dawes

    In today’s episode, Charlie and I are covering three major commodity moves in oil, silver, and uranium that matter right now.

  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
    By James Cooper

    Despite being an oil superpower, America desperately needs Canadian heavy crude. Now Canada's cozying up to China instead. Here's why.

  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
    By Charlie Ormond

    These aren't isolated currency wobbles. They're stress gauges for global leverage and a referendum on whether the US dollar stays dominant through higher rates, or loses ground through political chaos at the Fed.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Oil Whiplash, Silver Surge, Uranium Ignites: The Next Commodity Wave
  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
  • China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise
  • Copper and Zinc: One ASX small cap that is benefitting

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988